Economic data revision tracker

The first number makes the headline, and the number it becomes usually doesn't. This tracks which way first prints have been revised about two months later.

IndicatorAvg revision, last 6Avg revision, last 12Revised down, last 12Downward streakVs. history (z)As of
Nonfarm payrolls
thousand jobs, monthly change
-8.50-15.0858%2-1.12026-09-02
Real GDP growth
pct pts, annualized
+0.10+0.0733%0-0.72026-09-30
Industrial production
pct pts of monthly change
+0.06-0.0242%0+0.02026-09-17
Retail sales
pct pts of monthly change
+0.09+0.0333%0-0.72026-10-14

Each revision is the estimate about two months after the first print, minus the first print, built from ALFRED archived data so it reflects what was known at the time. A negative average means first prints have tended to run high. The z-score compares the 12-month average with that indicator's own history. Updated 2026-10-30.