StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

JUN 24, 2026Consumer

Retail Sales “Up” 0.5%—But the May 14, 2026 Release Says the Gain May Be Zero

On May 14, 2026, the Census Bureau headlined a **+0.5%** April rise in U.S. retail and food services sales to **$757.1 billion**. Then, buried in the same release: the **90% confidence interval inc...

JUN 23, 2026Consumer

Retail’s “+0.5%” That Might Be Zero: April’s $757.1B Headline Can’t Beat Its Own Confidence Interval

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JUN 22, 2026Consumer

Retail’s 0.5% Mirage: May 14, 2026 Release Trumpets Gains, Buries the Caveats

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JUN 19, 2026Consumer

Retail Sales Up 0.5%—Or Maybe Flat: April Hits $757.1B as Confidence Interval Includes Zero

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JUN 19, 2026Manufacturing

Philly Fed Calls “Expansion,” But Hours and Inventories Say “Not So Fast”: June Index Jumps to 10.3 as Prices Paid Climb

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JUN 18, 2026Consumer

Up 0.5% With an Asterisk: April Retail Sales Look Flat Under the Hood

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JUN 18, 2026Employment

Initial Claims Dip to 226,000, But the 4-Week Average Climbs to 223,250: The June 18, 2026 Release Splits the Narrative

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JUN 17, 2026Fed

June 17 Fed Calls Growth “Solid,” But Five Districts Are Flat/Declining and Nine Flag Tariff Costs

The official press release dated June 17, 2026 holds the policy rate at **3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent** with a **12–0** vote and upgrades growth to a “solid pace.” That upbeat tone runs hotter than the ...