In Govt We Trust. After Money We Follow.
StoneFlare breaks down CPI, jobs, GDP, and Fed releases into the signal that matters for markets and policy.
The U.S. trade deficit edged down by a slim $0.7 billion to $105.0 billion in September, according to the November 4, 2026 official release. At first glance, the headline suggests progress in n...
The November 4, 2026 ADP employment report for October showed private-sector jobs rising by +86,000, a modest slowdown from September’s +90,000. On the surface, the headline confirms on...
*Data released November 3, 2026*
The Federal Reserve’s October 1, 2026 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) paints a credit environment that’s far from broadly easing. While large and middle-market commercial and industrial ...
The October 1, 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI release paints a picture of ongoing expansion with a headline reading of 54.5, signaling continued growth in U.S. manufacturing for the ninth consecuti...
The October 27, 2026 FHFA House Price Index release paints a cautiously optimistic picture: national home prices rose 0.3% in August and are up 2.4% year-over-year. But dig beneath the ...
The Bank of Japan’s October 30, 2026 Outlook Report dropped quietly, but its numbers tell a story that’s anything but benign. While the BOJ insists underlying inflation is “generally consistent” wi...
The Federal Reserve’s October 23, 2026 H.8 release paints a nuanced picture of the U.S. banking system’s health. Bank credit is still expanding, but the pace is slowing, with total credit growth de...
Every FOMC call we made, scored against what happened, misses included.
State layoff notices rolled into one national monthly count.
How far first prints of jobs, GDP, and retail sales later move.
Daily open roles at the employers whose hiring turns first, by cohort.
CPI, PPI, PCE price signals
Jobs, claims, and labor dynamics
Central bank's next move
Economic growth scorecard
ISM, durables, and factory output
Retail sales and sentiment
Starts, sales, and market pulse
Global trade flows and policy
Bank lending and credit health