StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Consumer

Retail’s “+0.5%” Mirage: April Sales Hit $757.1B, But Census Says the Move May Be Statistically Flat

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Housing

Permits Pop, Single-Family Slips: April’s Housing Starts Lean on Backlog, Not New Demand

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Consumer

Retail Sales “Up” 0.5%—But the 90% Confidence Interval Says It Could Be Zero

On May 14, 2026, the official retail and food services release led with a clean **+0.5% month-over-month** for April. The fine print immediately undercut it: the **90% confidence interval includes ...

Employment

Claims Fall, But Not the Story: May 21 Release Shows Initials at 209,000 as Continuing Claims Edge to 1.782 Million

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Consumer

April Retail Sales “Rise” 0.5%—But the Gain Sits Inside the Error Bars

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Consumer

Retail Sales “Up” 0.5%—Inside a ±0.4% Error Band: Reading the May 14, 2026 Release Without Rose-Tinted Glasses

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Consumer

April Retail Sales “Up” 0.5% to $757.1B—But the Census Footnote Says It Might Be Zero

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Fed

Shrink No More: May 14 Release Quietly Confirms Fed T‑Bill Buys as Inflation Stays “Elevated”

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Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

15 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

46 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

47 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

11 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

20 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

19 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

20 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

12 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts