StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Fed

Fed’s “Strong Pace” Claim on October 28, 2026: More Spin Than Substance

The Federal Reserve’s October 28, 2026, FOMC statement boldly declared that economic activity is expanding at a **“strong pace”** and domestic spending remains **“resilient.”** Yet, a deep dive int...

Manufacturing

Durable-Goods Orders Surge 1.8% in September, but Aircraft Volatility Clouds the Capex Picture

The Census Bureau’s **October 27, 2026** durable-goods report for **September** delivered a headline-grabbing **1.8% jump in new orders**, sparking optimism about manufacturing momentum and busines...

Fed

October 13, 2026: A Quiet Update with Big Implications for Market Watchers

On October 13, 2026, the latest official press release landed with a surprising lack of the usual economic fireworks. No fresh data on GDP growth, inflation, or monetary policy shifts—just a terse ...

Consumer

October 23, 2026 Michigan Sentiment: A Steady Headline Masks a Consumer Confidence Crack

The University of Michigan’s October 23, 2026 consumer sentiment release delivers a headline that sounds reassuring: sentiment “held steady” at **48.0**, barely changed from September’s **48.1**. B...

Employment

October 22, 2026 Jobs Report: Layoffs Fall but Unemployment Benefits Climb—A Tale of Two Labor Markets

The October 22, 2026 Department of Labor release paints a nuanced picture: seasonally adjusted initial claims dropped to **194,000**, down **6,000** from the prior week, signaling fewer fresh layof...

Housing

Housing Starts Stall While Permits Hold: October 20, 2026 Report Signals Construction Slowdown, Not Collapse

The Census Bureau and HUD’s **October 20, 2026** release on September residential construction paints a picture of a housing market caught in a subtle but meaningful deceleration. Total housing sta...

Fed

Bowman’s October 14, 2026 Speech: Supervisory Reform After SVB Signals a Sharper, More Accountable Fed

On **October 14, 2026**, Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman delivered a pointed, no-nonsense address at the Bangkok Economic Festival that could reshape how the Fed polic...

Fed

Beige Book October 2026: Growth Narrows as Inflation and Labor Strain the Undercurrent

The Federal Reserve’s October 1, 2026 Beige Book paints a picture of an economy still on the move—but don’t let the upbeat tone fool you. Beneath the surface, growth is increasingly a tale of a few...