data-driven
Claims Down, Trend Up: Feb 12 Release Hides a 7,000 Jump in the 4-Week Average
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By StoneFlare AnalystRead article
Economic data and analysis related to Employment
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On January 15, 2026, the official jobless-claims release declared strength: seasonally adjusted (SA) initial claims fell to **198,000**, and the 4-week average slid to **205,000**, the lowest since...
On January 9, 2026, the official jobs report leaned on the soothing phrase “changed little.” The details tell a colder story: December payrolls rose just **+50,000**, prior months were revised down...
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The official press release dated December 31, 2025, flashes a clean **199,000** on initial jobless claims. Strong, right? Not so fast. Under the hood, unadjusted claims actually rose, and all-progr...
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On the official release dated **2025-12-16**, the headline called the labor market “little changed.” The data didn’t. November payrolls rose a modest **+64,000**, but the number employed part time ...
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The Department of Labor’s press release from **November 27, 2025**, wants you to focus on a tidy 6,000 drop in initial jobless claims. Don't. The real story is buried in a single, massive revision ...
The Department of Labor’s **November 13, 2025** press release served up a headline that markets wanted to see: initial jobless claims fell by **14,000** to a seasonally adjusted **218,000**. On the...
WARN notices show a dramatic 66% year-over-year surge in affected workers for 2025, with concentrated pain in tech, retail, and industrial sectors. We analyze the data across 10,299 events to uncover investment implications and regional patterns.
The August 2025 Employment Situation report, released on **November 7, 2025**, wants you to believe the labor market is holding steady. It paints a picture of calm with a headline job gain of **+22...
The official jobs report, released **November 7, 2025**, wants you to believe the labor market is treading water with a headline gain of **+22,000**. But buried in plain sight is a bright red flag:...
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The Department of Labor’s press release from **November 6, 2025,** wants you to celebrate a sharp 14,000 drop in weekly jobless claims. Don’t pop the champagne just yet. Buried in the footnotes and...
The Department of Labor’s report on September 25, 2025, wants you to celebrate a **14,000 drop** in initial jobless claims. It’s a tidy, encouraging headline. But dig an inch below the surface, and...
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