StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Manufacturing

Durables Headline Sinks 4.5%, Core Capex Climbs 1.6%: The Aircraft Mirage in May’s Orders

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Consumer

Retail Sales “Up” 0.5%—But the May 14, 2026 Release Says the Gain May Be Zero

On May 14, 2026, the Census Bureau headlined a **+0.5%** April rise in U.S. retail and food services sales to **$757.1 billion**. Then, buried in the same release: the **90% confidence interval inc...

Consumer

Retail’s “+0.5%” That Might Be Zero: April’s $757.1B Headline Can’t Beat Its Own Confidence Interval

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Consumer

Retail’s 0.5% Mirage: May 14, 2026 Release Trumpets Gains, Buries the Caveats

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Consumer

Retail Sales Up 0.5%—Or Maybe Flat: April Hits $757.1B as Confidence Interval Includes Zero

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Manufacturing

Philly Fed Calls “Expansion,” But Hours and Inventories Say “Not So Fast”: June Index Jumps to 10.3 as Prices Paid Climb

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Consumer

Up 0.5% With an Asterisk: April Retail Sales Look Flat Under the Hood

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Employment

Initial Claims Dip to 226,000, But the 4-Week Average Climbs to 223,250: The June 18, 2026 Release Splits the Narrative

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Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

16 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

51 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

52 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

12 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

25 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

45 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

23 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

14 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts