StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Trade

Record Exports Meet Universal Tariffs: The 24% Deficit Claim Without a Baseline

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Fed

April 17 Reality Check: PCE Up 0.4%/0.5%, Unemployment 4.3–4.4%—Not the Slump You Heard

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Manufacturing

Headline Heat, Hidden Chill: April Manufacturing Jumps to 26.7 While Backlogs Sink to -10.2 and Jobs Turn -5.1 (Press Release 2026-04-17)

The official press release dated **2026-04-17** (published April 16, 2026, 8:30 a.m. ET) touts a robust April rebound in manufacturing activity. The headline moved higher, new orders ripped, and sh...

Employment

Claims Fall to 207,000—But Raw Filings Jump 6.0%: The April 16, 2026 Jobs Data Doesn’t Say What You Think

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Housing

Inventory Climbs to 1.36M as Sales Fall 3.6%: April 13 Release Calls It “Tight,” the Data Disagrees

The April 13, 2026 press release paints a picture of “limited inventory” and rate headwinds squeezing buyers. The numbers tell a cooler story: **inventory rose to 1.36 million units (+3.0% month-ov...

Fed

April 7: Tariffs Named the Villain; CPI +0.3% and PPI +0.7% Offer No Smoking Gun

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Inflation

Nominal Spending Pops 0.5%, Real PCE Barely 0.1%: February’s PCE Story Isn’t What the Headline Says

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GDP

GDP Up 0.5%, Output Down 0.5%: April 9 BEA Release Says “Growth,” The Details Say “Narrow and Noisy”

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Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

14 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

39 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

40 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

10 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

18 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

8 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

15 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

9 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts