StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Consumer

Consumer Credit Growth Slows Sharply in August 2026: Revolving Credit Reverses While Installment Loans Surge

The Federal Reserve’s October 7, 2026 G.19 release delivers a sobering update on consumer credit: total borrowing growth slowed to a **1.9% annual rate in August**, down from July’s revised **2.3%*...

Employment

ADP’s September Jobs Report: A 90,000 Gain That Leaves More Questions Than Answers

The **October 7, 2026** ADP employment release reported a seasonally adjusted private-sector payroll increase of **90,000** for September. At first glance, this looks like a solid rebound from Augu...

Trade

U.S. Trade Deficit Hits $105.6 Billion in August: Goods Drag, Services Offset, and the Real Story Behind the Numbers

The **October 6, 2026** Census Bureau/BEA trade release dropped a bombshell: the U.S. goods-and-services deficit surged to **$105.6 billion in August**, a hefty jump from the revised **$92.8 billio...

Fed

Bowman’s Bold Bet: eSLR Recalibration Frees $5 Trillion in Dealer Capacity, Boosts Treasury Market Liquidity

On October 1, 2026, Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman delivered a speech at the Atlantic Council’s CEO & Senior Management Summit that quietly reshapes the regulatory la...

Banking

Credit Expansion Holds Firm: September 25, 2026 H.8 Report Signals Banking Stability Amid Volatility

The Federal Reserve’s September 25, 2026 H.8 release paints a picture of a banking system that’s quietly expanding credit, even as some volatility bubbles beneath the surface. Total bank credit tic...

Employment

Summer Jobs Slump Unmasked: October 2, 2026 Payroll Revisions Cut 60,000 Jobs, September Growth Falters

The October 2, 2026 employment report dropped a quiet bombshell: the summer labor market was weaker than anyone thought. Two months of payroll data—July and August—were revised downward by a combin...

Manufacturing

Manufacturing’s Tightrope: Expansion Persists Amid Soaring Costs and Supply Strains in October 2026 ISM Report

The October 1, 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI release delivers a familiar headline: manufacturing expanded for the ninth straight month, with the PMI holding steady at **54.5**, just a hair below Augus...

Employment

Labor Market Tightens Further: Initial Claims Dip to 197,000 in October 1, 2026 Release

The Department of Labor’s October 1, 2026 unemployment claims report quietly confirms what the headline barely hints at: the U.S. labor market is still tightening. Initial claims fell to **197,000*...