StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Employment

Initial Claims Dip to 226,000, But the 4-Week Average Climbs to 223,250: The June 18, 2026 Release Splits the Narrative

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Fed

June 17 Fed Calls Growth “Solid,” But Five Districts Are Flat/Declining and Nine Flag Tariff Costs

The official press release dated June 17, 2026 holds the policy rate at **3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent** with a **12–0** vote and upgrades growth to a “solid pace.” That upbeat tone runs hotter than the ...

Consumer

April 2026 Retail ‘Gain’ on Shaky Ground: +0.5% m/m With a 90% CI That Includes Zero

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Housing

Permits Whisper “Stable,” Starts Scream “-15.4%”: Housing’s Pipeline Mismatch in the July 17 Release

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Consumer

Retail “Rise” Without Proof: April Sales +0.5% Comes With a Confidence Interval That Includes Zero

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Consumer

Retail Sales Rise 0.5%—But the May 14 Release’s Footnotes Tell a Different Story

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Consumer

Retail Sales Say “Up” 0.5%; The Footnote Says “Could Be Zero” — April 2026’s Shrug

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Consumer

Retail Sales “Up 0.5%”—Or Maybe Not: April’s Headline Fails Its Own Confidence Test

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Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

16 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

51 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

52 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

12 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

23 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

40 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

23 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

14 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts