StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Inflation

Nominal Spending Pops 0.5%, Real PCE Barely 0.1%: February’s PCE Story Isn’t What the Headline Says

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GDP

GDP Up 0.5%, Output Down 0.5%: April 9 BEA Release Says “Growth,” The Details Say “Narrow and Noisy”

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Employment

Claims Split Screen: Initials Jump to 219k While Insured Unemployment Hits New Lows (April 9, 2026)

On April 9, 2026, the official release cheered “lowest since 2024” insured unemployment. Fair. But the leading edge flashed amber: seasonally adjusted initial claims jumped **+16,000 to 219,000**, ...

Manufacturing

Headline Orders Drop 1.4%, Core Capex Rises 0.6%: Aircraft Skews the April 7, 2026 Durable Goods Story

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Trade

24% Goods-Deficit Drop vs “$314B Record” Exports—But No Overall Balance

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Housing

House Prices “Rose” 0.1% in January—But Momentum Cooled as December Was Revised Up to 0.3% and YoY Slipped to 1.6%

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Fed

Tight Credit, Loose Narrative: March 31 Release Hangs on a 9% Q3 2025 Tightening While Nudging for Lower Rates

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Employment

178,000 Jobs, “Little Net Change”: The April 3 Jobs Release Buries Slack in Plain Sight

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Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

14 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

38 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

38 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

10 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

17 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

8 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

14 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

8 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts