StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

MAY 01, 2026Manufacturing

ISM’s 52.7 Mirage: May 1 Release Masks Prices at 84.6, 31-Month Job Contraction, and Narrowing Breadth

## PRESS RELEASE SUMMARY

APR 30, 2026Employment

Claims Dive to 189,000, But the Labor Story Doesn’t Budge: What the 2026-04-30 Release Really Says

On April 30, 2026, the Department of Labor’s weekly claims release touted a headline-grabbing drop in seasonally adjusted initial claims to **189,000 (-26,000)**. It sounds like a clean win for lab...

APR 30, 2026GDP

Q1’s 2.0% GDP Masks a 4.5% Consumer Price Surge

## PRESS RELEASE SUMMARY

APR 30, 2026Inflation

Nominal Sizzle, Real Fizzle: March PCE +0.9% m/m, Real DPI -0.1%

## PRESS RELEASE SUMMARY

APR 29, 2026Fed

Easing Bias Under “Elevated” Inflation: Apr 29, 2026 Fed Statement Clashes with Beige Book Reality

On April 29, 2026, the Committee said the economy is expanding at a “solid pace,” kept rates at **3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent**, and slipped in an easing bias—while also declaring inflation “elevated.” ...

APR 29, 2026Housing

Starts “Up,” Pipeline Down: March Housing Leans on Backlog as Permits Fall 10.8%

## PRESS RELEASE SUMMARY

APR 29, 2026Manufacturing

Defense Props the Headline: March Durable Orders +0.8% Masks a -0.3% Private-Sector Drop

The official release on 2026-04-29 cheered a **0.8%** rise in March durable goods orders. The part you could miss in the applause: strip out defense, and orders **fell 0.3%**. That isn’t a rounding...

APR 27, 2026Housing