StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Employment

Participation Drops 0.3 Point While Revisions Cut 74,000: The 2026-07-02 Jobs Release Isn’t “Little Changed”

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Employment

Claims Headline Slips 1,000, But Beneficiaries Jump 44,874 — July 2, 2026

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Manufacturing

Expansion With asterisks: June PMI Slips to 53.3 as Prices Stay Hot at 73.0 and Employment Stalls at 49.7

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Consumer

April Retail Says +0.5%—But the 90% Confidence Interval Includes Zero; Gasoline Did the Heavy Lifting

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Consumer

Retail Sales “Up” 0.5%—But the 90% CI Includes Zero: Reading the May 14, 2026 Release

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Fed

June 24 Fed Remarks Lean on 2025 Survey: “Nearly Half” of Small Firms Use AI, 71% Report Productivity Gains—But 2026 Credit Context Is Missing

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Consumer

Retail’s “Up” With an Asterisk: April Sales +0.5% (±0.4), But Confidence Interval Includes Zero

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Inflation

Nominal Sizzle, Real Fizzle: May PCE +0.4% While Spending +0.7% and Saving Slides to 3.0%

On June 25, 2026, the BEA’s latest release delivered an upbeat trio—personal income, disposable income, and spending all up **0.7%** in May—but left the inflation engine running. The PCE price inde...

Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

17 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

54 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

53 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

13 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

26 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

49 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

23 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

14 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts