StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Fed

Solid vs. Slight: FOMC Holds at 3.5%–3.75% With 3 Dissents as Beige Book Says Prices “Same or Slower” in All Districts

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Manufacturing

Backlogs Burn While Headlines Smile: June Durable Orders +0.3% as Defense +41% YTD Masks Private Softness

The official release dated July 27, 2026 says durable goods orders rose a modest **0.3% m/m** in June. That’s technically true—and strategically incomplete. Strip out transportation and orders rose...

Fed

July 16 Fed Optimism Meets Hard Data: PPI +0.5%/+0.7%, PCE 3.7% YoY, June Payrolls +57k

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Employment

Claims Fall to 187,000, But the Fine Print Points the Other Way

The Department of Labor’s July 23, 2026 press release touts a drop in seasonally adjusted initial claims to **187,000**—and at first blush, that’s a clean win for the soft-landing crowd. But look c...

Trade

“25% on Certain Goods” or “Most Imports”? July 19 Release Leaves Brazil Tariff Scope to the Imagination

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Fed

Spending Climbs 0.7% in May as Jobs Slow to +57k: July 16, 2026’s Disinflation Pitch Faces Stubborn Data

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Housing

19% Surge or Statistical Mirage? June Starts Hit 1.427M as Permits Slip and Error Bars Loom

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Manufacturing

Philly Fed Roars to 41.4, But the Future Blinks: July’s Split-Screen Manufacturing Story

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Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

17 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

57 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

59 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

13 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

28 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

51 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

26 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

16 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts