StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Consumer

Consumer Credit Growth Picks Up Steam in July 2026, but High Costs Keep Households on Edge

The Federal Reserve’s September 8, 2026 G.19 release reveals a clear acceleration in consumer credit growth, with total credit expanding at a **4.2% seasonally adjusted annual rate in July**, up fr...

Fed

Waller’s Hawkish Pivot: September 3 Speech Signals Hold-With-Hike Risk Ahead of FOMC

On **September 3, 2026**, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher J. Waller delivered a speech that quietly but decisively shifted his monetary policy stance from early-year dovishness to a **cautious...

Banking

Credit Crunch Warning Lights Flash: August 28, 2026 H.8 Data Reveal Sharp Business Lending Slowdown

The Federal Reserve’s August 28, 2026 H.8 release paints a nuanced picture of the banking system’s health: overall credit continues to expand, but the engine driving business investment—Commercial ...

Employment

Payroll Revisions Flip the Script: July Jobs Bounce Back, But August’s Surge Is More Bark Than Bite

The September 4, 2026 payroll report rewrote recent labor market history, upgrading June and July employment figures by a combined **55,000 jobs** and transforming July’s initially reported **23,00...

Employment

August Jobless Claims: A Modest Rise, Not a Labor Market Alarm — September 3, 2026 Data Unpacked

The September 3, 2026 Department of Labor release nudged initial jobless claims higher by 2,000 to **206,000** for the week ending August 29. On the surface, a small uptick in claims might raise ey...

Trade

U.S. Trade Deficit Surges $17.4 Billion in July as Capital Goods Imports Run Hot

*September 3, 2026, U.S. International Trade Report Unveils a Sharp Reversal After Earlier 2026 Gains*

Fed

Two-Speed Economy in Focus: August 1, 2026 Beige Book Reveals Uneven Growth and Persistent Cost Pressures

The Federal Reserve’s August 1, 2026 Beige Book paints a picture of “modest” national growth, but scratch beneath the surface and you find a sharply bifurcated economy. While sectors like data cent...

Employment

Hiring Hits the Brakes: August ADP Jobs Gain Slows to +38,000 on September 2, 2026 Release

The September 2, 2026 ADP employment report delivered a modest headline: private-sector jobs increased by **+38,000** in August. On the surface, that’s a positive number—jobs were created, after al...