StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Inflation

Spending Up, Purchasing Power Down: May 28, 2026 PCE Release Hides a Real DPI Drop of -0.5% and Saving Rate Slide to 2.6%

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Consumer

Retail Sales Rise 0.5%—But The Footnote Says “Don’t Bet On It”

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GDP

GDP Cut to 1.6% While GDI Trails at 0.9%: May 28 Release Turns “Momentum” into Mixed Signals

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Employment

Stable Rate, Rising Counts: 4‑Week Claims Jump to 209,000; Insured Unemployment Up to 1,786,000

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Manufacturing

April Durable Goods: A 7.9% Headline Pop Running on Jet Fuel, Not Broad Capex

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Manufacturing

No Price Cuts, Orders Collapse: Philly Fed’s May Survey Pits -0.4 Current Activity Against 53.2 Future Optimism

The Philadelphia Fed’s official press release dated **2026-05-17** (with a footer noting **2026-05-21** as the release date) delivers an upbeat headline on expectations while burying a harsher real...

Consumer

Retail Sales “Up” 0.5%—But the 90% CI Says Maybe Not

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Consumer

Nominal Lift, Real Questions: April Retail Sales +0.5% (+4.9% y/y) in the May 14, 2026 Release

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Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

16 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

47 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

49 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

12 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

22 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

24 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

20 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

12 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts