StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Employment

Claims Split Screen: Initials Jump to 219k While Insured Unemployment Hits New Lows (April 9, 2026)

On April 9, 2026, the official release cheered “lowest since 2024” insured unemployment. Fair. But the leading edge flashed amber: seasonally adjusted initial claims jumped **+16,000 to 219,000**, ...

Manufacturing

Headline Orders Drop 1.4%, Core Capex Rises 0.6%: Aircraft Skews the April 7, 2026 Durable Goods Story

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Trade

24% Goods-Deficit Drop vs “$314B Record” Exports—But No Overall Balance

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Housing

House Prices “Rose” 0.1% in January—But Momentum Cooled as December Was Revised Up to 0.3% and YoY Slipped to 1.6%

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Fed

Tight Credit, Loose Narrative: March 31 Release Hangs on a 9% Q3 2025 Tightening While Nudging for Lower Rates

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Employment

178,000 Jobs, “Little Net Change”: The April 3 Jobs Release Buries Slack in Plain Sight

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Trade

Gold-Plated Exports, Real-World Deficit: February Trade Gap Widens to $57.3B Despite 54.8% YTD “Improvement”

On April 2, 2026, the latest trade report delivered a paradox: the February deficit widened to **$57.3 billion** (from a revised **$54.7 billion** in January), even as the headline narrative leaned...

Employment

Claims Fall to 202k, But Continuing Claims Jump 25k: April 2, 2026 Release Leans on Smoothing

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