StoneFlare

Cutting through the noise with data-driven analysis

Latest Articles

Consumer

Retail “Growth” With an Asterisk: April Up 0.5% (±0.4%)—Statistically Flat in the May 14, 2026 Release

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Fed

Hawkish Tone, Missing Receipts: The May 22 Release Pushes Tightening Without April Data

The official press release dated **May 22, 2026** bangs the drum on resurgent inflation and a tougher policy stance. One problem: the packet of official data accompanying it stops in February for C...

Consumer

Sentiment, Smoothing, and Silence: The May 22, 2026 Release Claims “Alignment” Without the Numbers

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Consumer

Retail’s “+0.5%” Mirage: April Sales Hit $757.1B, But Census Says the Move May Be Statistically Flat

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Housing

Permits Pop, Single-Family Slips: April’s Housing Starts Lean on Backlog, Not New Demand

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Consumer

Retail Sales “Up” 0.5%—But the 90% Confidence Interval Says It Could Be Zero

On May 14, 2026, the official retail and food services release led with a clean **+0.5% month-over-month** for April. The fine print immediately undercut it: the **90% confidence interval includes ...

Employment

Claims Fall, But Not the Story: May 21 Release Shows Initials at 209,000 as Continuing Claims Edge to 1.782 Million

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Consumer

April Retail Sales “Rise” 0.5%—But the Gain Sits Inside the Error Bars

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Inflation

CPI, PPI, PCE Price Signals

15 posts

Employment

Jobs, Claims, and Labor Dynamics

46 posts

Fed

Central Bank's Next Move

48 posts

GDP

Economic Growth Scorecard

11 posts

Manufacturing

ISM, Durables, and Factory Output

20 posts

Consumer

Retail Sales and Sentiment

21 posts

Housing

Starts, Sales, and Market Pulse

20 posts

Trade

Global Trade Flows and Policy

12 posts

Banking

Bank Lending and Credit Health

2 posts